Homicide rate predictions for 2009-10 - not looking good.

Freedom Chambers has take the bold step of projecting for homicide rates in 2009 and 2010.

Our conservative estimate of 527 homicides for 2008 is likely to be exceeded - and reach 546.

We believe that our mathematical model is now so accurate that we can reasonably predict that in 2009 there will be about 580 homicides in Trinidad & Tobago. 2010 will be followed by 650 homicides.

We believe that there is a run-away dysfunctional process leading to the escalating homicide rate. The effectiveness of crime control measures would have to be referenced against our predictions. Only significant declines in homicides over two years will indicate some departure from the expected trend.

Our graph below can be quoted and distributed in its unaltered form any where by lawful means (see attached).